At any time, in any era, in any state structure, a person was interested in what would happen in the future. In our time, the ability to predict has not lost its value, but, on the contrary, it is increasingly in demand.
Social forecasting provides information to justify the decision and the choice of planning methods. He points to the possibility of one or another path of development in the future, and the plan expresses the decision on which of the opportunities society realizes.
Social forecasting uses several methods. First of all, this is a method of expert assessment designed to give an objective description of the qualitative and quantitative aspects of the forecasting object based on the processing and analysis of a set of individual expert opinions.
The quality of the expert evaluation, its reliability, and validity, to a decisive extent, depend on the chosen methodology for collecting and processing individual expert values, which includes the following stages: selection of the composition of experts and assessment of their competence; preparation of questionnaires for the survey of experts; obtaining expert opinions; assessment of the consistency of expert opinions; assessment of the reliability of the results; preparation of a program for processing expert opinions. Social forecasting will allow you to properly plan the activities of the organization, as well as prevent the occurrence of negative consequences.